According to investment management company JLL, the recent surge of investment from Asia and Middle East in Britain is due to weaker British pound.
The value of UK commercial real estate has decreased by 16% due to weaker pound, as well as a slight decreased in capital values. Buyers from Hong Kong and mainland China represent the majority of new property investors in UK.
"We continue to see the emergence of Chinese capital globally. Chinese investors now rank just behind US as the second largest source of global cross border capital and we expect them to have an increasing influence on the UK market," says Alistair Meadows, Head of UK Capital Markets at JLL. "Many investors from China and the wider Asia Pacific region are attracted to the depth, liquidity and familiarity of the UK market and come seeking diversification and safe haven forms of investment."
"Private investors have responded to the depreciation quickly and, as a result, they have become a more important driver of market sentiment and pricing. Despite the triggering of Article 50, as 2017 progresses we expect global funds and institutions to return their focus to the UK, in response to relatively attractive pricing and expected resilience among corporate occupiers. Speaking to our institutional clients in this region, many of them are actively looking for opportunities in London." says Stuart Crow, Head of Asia Pacific Capital Markets.
Analysts from JLL predicts that investors from mainland China, Hong Kong and Singapore will likely enjoy a total returns of 5-10% in London office properties.
Oversea investors from Asia Pacific is rising from 17% to 28%. Number of investments from Americas in UK have reduced from 32% to 17%.
EU離脱の英国に見る、不動産投資の機会
激動の中にあるイギリス。これの動きを見極めた投資家が、熱視線を送ります。その舞台となる業界が不動産。しかもその投資家の居住地として、アジア太平洋地域が活況を見せているのです。
英国のメイ首相が第50条に基づき、EUからの脱退プロセスを開始させると、ポンドの下落によりアジア太平洋および中東地域から英国への投資が増加しています。資本価値のわずかな低下と相まって、英国の商業用不動産の価格は、2016年6月の投票以来、相対的に海外資本に対して平均16%の割引というかたちに。
全体として、海外投資家は2015年においては、英国市場での取引活動の48%を占め、2016年には51%とわずかに増加。この増加は通貨の動きに一部起因する可能性が高いと考えられます。アジア太平洋およびヨーロッパ(英国を除く)の投資家からの投資意欲が急激に増加しています。実際、アジア太平洋地域からの割合が17%から28%に、ヨーロッパからのそれは14%から23%へと成長を見せる結果に。
対照的に、米州(主に米国)から英国への投資流入は、2016年には、世界からの投資総額のうち32%というシェアから、17%にまで減少しました。
Oxford Economicsの通貨に関する予測と、JLLのそれに基づくと、中国からの国境を越えた購入者は、今年、ロンドンのオフィス関連不動産から合計5〜10%の収益を享受する可能性が予想されます。シンガポールと香港の投資家も、高い確率で、同様の利回りを得ることになるでしょう。
英镑走低,吸引大批亚洲资本投资英国
随着英国首相特雷莎·梅正式开启英国的脱欧流程,持续贬值的英镑吸引了大批亚洲和中东资本。
由于英镑的贬值,英国房地产价格与2016年年中脱欧公投时相比,相当于下跌了16%,这引起了海外买家的蜂拥而至,其中以中国大陆和香港为首。
中国已经成为继美国之后全球第二大国际资本。许多中国投资者把投资英国作为一种寻求多元化和避风港的投资形式。
总体而言,海外投资者在2016年英国市场的交易活动中占51%。其中亚太地区的份额从17%上升到28%,欧洲(英国除外)从14%上升到23%。相比之下,美洲(美国为主)的投资流入在英国海外投资的份额从32%下降到了2016年的17%。
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